Investing
Analysis-Behind Aviation Recovery, Suppliers Struggle To Keep Up

For dealmakers, this week’s Paris Air Show will showcase the boom in demand for commercial planes and military technology. What won’t be on display is the problem that has consumed the time and attention of executives and consultants for the past two years: the long and still uncertain lead times in delivering the parts for all the planes and weapon systems being sold. Airbus Chief Executive Guillaume Fury said things have begun to stabilize. Other senior executives see a glimmer of hope. But there is an emerging consensus that the industry’s sprawling supply chain – strained by rising costs, parts shortages, and a scarcity of skilled labor in the wake of the pandemic – will have to be remade before it can recover fully, a process that will take years. “I can’t stress enough the tsunami that it (the pandemic) created in our supply chain. The good news is traffic is back,” the CEO of engine maker CFM International Gael Merest told reporters ahead of the show. Smaller suppliers that took on debt during the pandemic and are now struggling to fund new capacity remain a chief concern. “The issue now is deep down in the supply chain, tier-three suppliers and lower, where the investment and headcount required for the demand picture makes them very nervous and makes their lenders very nervous,” said Andy Cronin, CEO of Lessor Avolon.
Much of the response involves putting out fires one by one and discussing priority lists that can change month by month. “There are a lot of smaller and medium sized companies for whom COVID was a real challenge,” added Mike Madsen, CEO of supplier Honeywell (NASDAQ:HON) Aerospace. “Helping them get back to, and now above, 2019 production levels is where all the focus is.” Labor shortages are hurting the whole ecosystem from new assembly to repair shops as demand rebounds for travel and planes. “Every day we get a call from somebody in aerospace asking for help in fixing their supply chain,” said Eric Bernardina, a managing director at U.S. consultancy AlixPartners.
Among the items recently flagged as a concern are weather radar and emergency locator transmitters (ELT) for both Airbus and Boeing (NYSE:BA) narrowband jets, two industry sources with direct knowledge of the matter said.
A spokesperson for manufacturer Honeywell said “we are not aware of any delayed aircraft deliveries related to either of these product lines”. Airbus and Boeing declined specific comment. Airbus said it was monitoring supplies closely. Boeing said it was working with suppliers to address industry-wide challenges. REMAKING THE CHAIN
Speaking separately, Madsen said Honeywell saw an overall improvement in the “electrical part of the supply base,” as less demand for consumer products frees up more capacity. Large suppliers are looking at bringing some work in-house. “We’re looking at it more broadly than we ever have in probably the last 20 years,” Madsen said. consolidation could also play a role. When Connecticut-based Witcraft Group and Paradigm Precision merged to form Pursuit Aerospace in February, they only made a single part in common. Witcraft had no facilities to make castings but was able to shift work to a Paradigm casting facility in Tunisia. Paradigm, in turn, was able to shift forging work to Witcraft. “We’re able to move some of the buy we had with outside parties into ourselves,” said Pursuit Aerospace CEO Doug Folsom. Airbus’ Fury, who also heads France’s Gifts aerospace industry association, said there had been almost 80 M&A moves in France alone since 2020 to support the very smallest companies. M1 Composites Technology, which manufactures and repairs parts like radar enclosures, more than doubled the size of its Montreal-based factory during the pandemic but still struggles with parts procurement. “The supply chain can’t just get back to 2019, it has to be better than 2019,” M1 president Lorenzo Maranda said.
Investing
Ford Signs Initial Deal To Sell Germany Plant To Investor

Ford Motor Company (NYSE:F) held a work meeting Friday where the Detroit automaker revealed that they have found what was described as a major international investor for Ford’s German plant in Saar louis and signed initial agreements together with the western state of Saarland. “This is an excellent basis for further negotiations, with the potential to create around 2,500 jobs in Saar Louis,” said Martin Sander, head of the company’s German unit Ford Werke. “This week we have taken a big step towards this goal,” he said, adding that the aim was still to transform the plant and create future employment opportunities. According to a late January report by The Wall Street Journal, China’s BYD (OTC: BYDDY) was one of fifteen investors expressing interest in acquiring the Ford site in Saar louis once the production of the Ford Focus, its current model, ceases in 2025. Shares of F are up 0.67% in premarket trading on Friday.
Investing
Dutch Curb Chip Equipment Exports Amid US Pressure

The Dutch government on Friday announced new rules restricting exports of certain advanced semiconductor equipment, a move that comes amid U.S. pressure on its allies to curb sales of high-tech components to China. “We have taken this step in the interest of our national security,” said Trade Minister Lieske Schreinemacher, adding such equipment may have military applications. Schreinemacher added only a “very limited” number of companies and product models would be affected. China was not named. ASML, a Dutch company that is a key equipment supplier to computer chip makers, said in the reaction it would not change its financial guidance as a result of the new rules. The rules, which will require companies that make advanced chipmaking equipment to seek a licence before they can export it, are expected to go into effect on Sept. 1. A technical document specifying which equipment will require a licence accompanied the announcement. The introduction of the list is the result of a high-level agreement between the U.S. and two allies with strong chip equipment industries – The Netherlands and Japan – to tighten restrictions as Washington seeks to hobble Beijing’s ability to make its own chips. ASML, Europe’s largest technology company, repeated a March statement indicating the top section of models of its second most advanced “DUV” product line, which are used to manufacture computer chips, would need a licence. It named its 2000 series “and subsequent” models and said it did not expect the rules to have a material impact on its financial forecasts. ASML’s most advanced EUV machines have never been shipped to China. ASML’s shares were down 3.6% after the news, while smaller rival ASM International (OTC:ASMIY) dipped 1.8%. The U.S. in October imposed export restrictions on shipments of American chipmaking tools to China from U.S. companies like Lam Research (NASDAQ:LRCX) and Applied Materials (NASDAQ:AMAT) on national security grounds, and lobbied other countries with key suppliers to do similar. China decried the move, part of a heightening of tensions between the two countries that has spanned everything from 5G equipment and alleged spy balloons to relations over Taiwan. Reuters reported on Thursday the U.S. may introduce additional rules next month. Schreinemacher said she expected about 20 licence applications on an annual basis, representing a “limited part of the total product portfolio of the companies that fall under this rule”. ASML has been restricted from selling EUV machines without a licence under an international agreement known as the Wassenaar Arrangement, but the Dutch rules now make clear that EUV machines also fall under the Dutch rules.
European Union countries share a common trade policy and generally use the Wassenaar Arrangement to determine which exports are restricted on security grounds. The new Dutch list published may later be adopted by other European countries or added to the EU list, though few other European countries export high-end chipmaking equipment.
German manufacturers supply essential parts to ASML, including lasers made by Trumpf and lenses made by Zeiss, among others.
Investing
SAIC’s MG Motor Brand Launches New Electric Vehicle Leasing Offer In France

MG Motor, owned by Chinese company SAIC Motor, on Friday, announced a new leasing offer whereby drivers in France can get for 99 euros ($107.6) a month its MG4 electric car, matching a scheme the French government would like to see benefiting cars made in Europe. The offer runs from July 1 through to August 31 and is done in conjunction with MG Motor’s French banking partner Credit Agricole (OTC: CRARY) Consumer Finance. It is based on people getting a “super bonus” incentive of 7,000 euros for low-income buyers and also includes a 2,500 euros public aid paid in exchange for scrapping an old thermal engine car. MG Motor’s offer comes as major car companies from around the world compete in the electric car market, which is forecast to grow rapidly as customers ditch older models given current trends to protect the environment. The brand calls it its own “social leasing” offer, in reference to a scheme the French government is working on to make electric vehicles more affordable. It has been delayed several times because the French authorities fear it would benefit mainly Asian brands. According to a government source, it should be unveiled later this year and implemented in 2024, when the first European-made affordable electric cars will come to the market, such as the Citroen e-C3 from Stellates and the Renault (EPA: RENA) R5. The MG4, imported from China, was ranked as the 5th most sold EV in France in May, according to the French electric mobility association Avere-France.
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