Investing
Gold Prices Crushed By Resurgent Yields & Strong Dollar, Bullish Outlook in Peril

Gold prices suffered a major setback on Thursday, falling for a third consecutive session and reaching their lowest level since the beginning of April. In early afternoon trading in New York, XAU/USD was down 1.4% to $1,960, dragged down by U.S. dollar strength and rapidly rising bond yields following encouraging macro data and news that the U.S. Congress is making progress in negotiations to raise the debt ceiling. Focusing on today’s catalysts, unemployment claims corresponding to the previous week and the Philadelphia Fed’s manufacturing production for May were much less negative than anticipated, reinforcing the view that business activity remains remarkably resilient despite numerous headwinds, such as tightening lending standards, sticky inflation and non-stop recession talk in financial media. With the economy holding up better than expected, the market is gradually pricing out the aggressive easing that had been discounted for the second half of 2023 in the immediate aftermath of the U.S. banking sector turmoil that erupted in March. Although with some qualms, it seems traders are starting to position for a “higher for longer” interest rate regime again, a key risk for precious metals. Optimism over the prospect of an agreement to raise the U.S. borrowing cap and avoid a federal default also appeared to hurt safe-haven assets, including gold. For context, sentiment took a turn for the better after House Speaker Kevin McCarthy said that the lower chamber of Congress could vote on a deal as soon as next week, a sign that discussions are moving in the right direction. Although fundamentals remain somewhat constructive for gold, the situation could change. For example, if the U.S. economy manages to stabilize and dodges a recession, rates could remain elevated for longer than initially contemplated. This scenario would undercut non-yielding assets, boosting the U.S. dollar in the process. For this reason, traders should keep a close eye on incoming data in the weeks and months ahead.
After breaking below cluster support at $1,975, gold prices accelerated their retreat, falling to their weakest point in more than a month on Thursday. While the recent decline seems to be a corrective move within a medium-term uptrend, the outlook could turn negative if bears manage to keep the pressure on the market. In the event of a larger pullback, initial support appears near $1,920, the lower limit of a rising channel in play since September of last year. Bulls do not want to see prices breach this floor, otherwise sellers could make a try on $1,895, the 38.2% Fib retracement of the September 2022/May 2023 rally. On the flip side, if bulls regain control of the price action and spark a rebound, technical resistance lies at $1,975, followed by the psychological $2,000 mark.
GOLD PRICES TECHNICAL CHART
Investing
Ford Signs Initial Deal To Sell Germany Plant To Investor

Ford Motor Company (NYSE:F) held a work meeting Friday where the Detroit automaker revealed that they have found what was described as a major international investor for Ford’s German plant in Saar louis and signed initial agreements together with the western state of Saarland. “This is an excellent basis for further negotiations, with the potential to create around 2,500 jobs in Saar Louis,” said Martin Sander, head of the company’s German unit Ford Werke. “This week we have taken a big step towards this goal,” he said, adding that the aim was still to transform the plant and create future employment opportunities. According to a late January report by The Wall Street Journal, China’s BYD (OTC: BYDDY) was one of fifteen investors expressing interest in acquiring the Ford site in Saar louis once the production of the Ford Focus, its current model, ceases in 2025. Shares of F are up 0.67% in premarket trading on Friday.
Investing
Dutch Curb Chip Equipment Exports Amid US Pressure

The Dutch government on Friday announced new rules restricting exports of certain advanced semiconductor equipment, a move that comes amid U.S. pressure on its allies to curb sales of high-tech components to China. “We have taken this step in the interest of our national security,” said Trade Minister Lieske Schreinemacher, adding such equipment may have military applications. Schreinemacher added only a “very limited” number of companies and product models would be affected. China was not named. ASML, a Dutch company that is a key equipment supplier to computer chip makers, said in the reaction it would not change its financial guidance as a result of the new rules. The rules, which will require companies that make advanced chipmaking equipment to seek a licence before they can export it, are expected to go into effect on Sept. 1. A technical document specifying which equipment will require a licence accompanied the announcement. The introduction of the list is the result of a high-level agreement between the U.S. and two allies with strong chip equipment industries – The Netherlands and Japan – to tighten restrictions as Washington seeks to hobble Beijing’s ability to make its own chips. ASML, Europe’s largest technology company, repeated a March statement indicating the top section of models of its second most advanced “DUV” product line, which are used to manufacture computer chips, would need a licence. It named its 2000 series “and subsequent” models and said it did not expect the rules to have a material impact on its financial forecasts. ASML’s most advanced EUV machines have never been shipped to China. ASML’s shares were down 3.6% after the news, while smaller rival ASM International (OTC:ASMIY) dipped 1.8%. The U.S. in October imposed export restrictions on shipments of American chipmaking tools to China from U.S. companies like Lam Research (NASDAQ:LRCX) and Applied Materials (NASDAQ:AMAT) on national security grounds, and lobbied other countries with key suppliers to do similar. China decried the move, part of a heightening of tensions between the two countries that has spanned everything from 5G equipment and alleged spy balloons to relations over Taiwan. Reuters reported on Thursday the U.S. may introduce additional rules next month. Schreinemacher said she expected about 20 licence applications on an annual basis, representing a “limited part of the total product portfolio of the companies that fall under this rule”. ASML has been restricted from selling EUV machines without a licence under an international agreement known as the Wassenaar Arrangement, but the Dutch rules now make clear that EUV machines also fall under the Dutch rules.
European Union countries share a common trade policy and generally use the Wassenaar Arrangement to determine which exports are restricted on security grounds. The new Dutch list published may later be adopted by other European countries or added to the EU list, though few other European countries export high-end chipmaking equipment.
German manufacturers supply essential parts to ASML, including lasers made by Trumpf and lenses made by Zeiss, among others.
Investing
SAIC’s MG Motor Brand Launches New Electric Vehicle Leasing Offer In France

MG Motor, owned by Chinese company SAIC Motor, on Friday, announced a new leasing offer whereby drivers in France can get for 99 euros ($107.6) a month its MG4 electric car, matching a scheme the French government would like to see benefiting cars made in Europe. The offer runs from July 1 through to August 31 and is done in conjunction with MG Motor’s French banking partner Credit Agricole (OTC: CRARY) Consumer Finance. It is based on people getting a “super bonus” incentive of 7,000 euros for low-income buyers and also includes a 2,500 euros public aid paid in exchange for scrapping an old thermal engine car. MG Motor’s offer comes as major car companies from around the world compete in the electric car market, which is forecast to grow rapidly as customers ditch older models given current trends to protect the environment. The brand calls it its own “social leasing” offer, in reference to a scheme the French government is working on to make electric vehicles more affordable. It has been delayed several times because the French authorities fear it would benefit mainly Asian brands. According to a government source, it should be unveiled later this year and implemented in 2024, when the first European-made affordable electric cars will come to the market, such as the Citroen e-C3 from Stellates and the Renault (EPA: RENA) R5. The MG4, imported from China, was ranked as the 5th most sold EV in France in May, according to the French electric mobility association Avere-France.
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